Change in the association between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperatures and summer rainfall over South Africa and Namibia

Author(s):  
Willem A. Landman ◽  
Simon J. Mason
2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 649-665 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annette Hahn ◽  
Enno Schefuß ◽  
Sergio Andò ◽  
Hayley C. Cawthra ◽  
Peter Frenzel ◽  
...  

Abstract. Due to the high sensitivity of southern Africa to climate change, a reliable understanding of its hydrological system is crucial. Recent studies of the regional climatic system have revealed a highly complex interplay of forcing factors on precipitation regimes. This includes the influence of the tropical easterlies, the strength of the southern hemispheric westerlies as well as sea surface temperatures along the coast of the subcontinent. However, very few marine records have been available in order to study the coupling of marine and atmospheric circulation systems. Here we present results from a marine sediment core, recovered in shallow waters off the Gouritz River mouth on the south coast of South Africa. Core GeoB18308-1 allows a closer view of the last  ∼  4 kyr. Climate sensitive organic proxies, like the distribution and isotopic composition of plant-wax lipids as well as indicators for sea surface temperatures and soil input, give information on oceanographic and hydrologic changes during the recorded time period. Moreover, the micropaleontology, mineralogical and elemental composition of the sediments reflect the variability of the terrigenous input to the core site. The combination of down-core sediment signatures and a catchment-wide provenance study indicate that the Little Ice Age ( ∼  300–650 cal yr BP) was characterized by climatic conditions favorable to torrential flood events. The Medieval Climate Anomaly ( ∼  950–650 cal yr BP) is expressed by lower sea surface temperatures in the Mossel Bay area and humid conditions in the Gouritz River catchment. These new results suggest that the coincidence of humid conditions and cooler sea surface temperatures along the south coast of South Africa resulted from a strengthened and more southerly anticyclonic circulation. Most probably, the transport of moisture from the Indian Ocean by strong subtropical easterlies was coupled with Agulhas Bank upwelling pulses, which were initiated by an increase in Agulhas Current strength.


2013 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 619-632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiming V. Wang ◽  
Guillaume Leduc ◽  
Marcus Regenberg ◽  
Nils Andersen ◽  
Thomas Larsen ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annette Hahn ◽  
Enno Schefuß ◽  
Sergio Andó ◽  
Hayley C. Cawthraw ◽  
Peter Frenzel ◽  
...  

Abstract. Recent studies of the South African climatic system revealed a highly complex interplay of forcing factors on precipitation regimes. This includes the influence of the tropical easterlies, the strength of the Southern Hemispheric Westerlies as well as sea surface temperatures along the coast of the subcontinent. This study of a sediment core at the terrestrial-marine interface spanning a time interval of ~ 4 ka provides insights on the highly dynamic climatic system in southernmost South Africa. Several organic proxies sensitive to changes in climatic parameters like the distribution and isotopic composition of plant-wax lipids as well as indicators for sea surface temperatures and soil input give information on climatic changes during the investigated time period. Moreover, the micropaleontology, mineralogical and elemental composition of the sediments reflects the variability of the terrigenous input to the core site. The combination of downcore sediment signatures and a catchment-wide provenance study indicate that the Little Ice Age was characterized by relatively warm sea surface temperatures in Mossel Bay and arid climatic conditions favorable to torrential flood events sourced in the Gouritz headlands. In contrast, the so-called Medieval Climate Anomaly is expressed by humid conditions in the Gouritz River catchment with lower, but highly variable sea surface temperatures in the Mossel Bay area. The coincidence between humid climatic conditions and cooler sea surface temperatures has been attributed to a strengthened and more southerly anticyclonic circulation. In this climatic setting strong tropical easterlies supply Indian Ocean moisture to South Africa and at the same time Agulhas Bank upwelling pulses become more common due to an increase in Agulhas Current transport as well as alongshore southeasterly winds. These processes resemble the modern day oceanography in summer and can be conceptualized in a regional climate model.


1993 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. R. Jury

A diagnostic model is used to investigate the underlying atmospheric processes that gave rise to the 1991-1992 drought over Southern Africa. The first indicator of the impending drought was a rise of more than 1 °C in the sea surface temperatures of the tropical part of the Southern Indian Ocean in the winter of 1991. This may have been instrumented in causing an anomaly in the mean Walker circulation to develop, through which the inflow of warm, moist air from the Mozambique Channel to the eastern escarpment of Southern Africa was inhibited, with a concurrent reduction in rainfall. It is concluded that the pattern and cycles of summer rainfall over Southern Africa are now sufficiently well understood to venture tentative predictions, but that increased co-operation between the meteorological bodies of Southern Africa will be required to achieve this.


2019 ◽  
Vol 137 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 3077-3087 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asmaa Alhamshry ◽  
Ayele Almaw Fenta ◽  
Hiroshi Yasuda ◽  
Katsuyuki Shimizu ◽  
Takayuki Kawai

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